Polling aggregator 538 is projecting that the Republicans will indeed lose control of the House of Representatives this time around.
Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball published its final predictions on Monday, which included Democrats forecast to net 34 House seats and capture control of the lower chamber.
With almost all races called, House Republicans had secured at least 64 of 99 House seats, more than the 60 votes needed to flex powers like overriding vetoes and more easily placing constitutional amendments before voters.
Pennsylvania looked particularly daunting for Republicans after court-imposed redistricting and a rash of retirements put several seats in play. An open seat that included Atlantic City was also ripe for Democratic pickup by state lawmaker Jeff Van Drew after the GOP campaign committee abandoned Republican Seth Grossman over racially charged comments. With three races unresolved early Wednesday, Republicans stood a chance of expanding their majority with wins possible in Florida, Arizona and Montana. Joe Donnelly versus Republican Mike Braun in IN; and Democratic Sen.
For Democrats, the road to the 218-seat majority ran through two dozen suburban districts Hillary Clinton won in 2016 and through swaths of Trump country in the Rust Belt and heartland where voters backed the president.
Senator Bob Menendez of New Jersey beat Republican challenger Bob Hugin to win a third term, after the incumbent had been reprimanded by a Senate ethics panel after corruption charges were dismissed following a mistrial. Four years later, Brat could find himself on the losing end of another upset, facing a strong challenge from Abigail Spanberger, a former Central Intelligence Agency operations officer.
Voters "rejected the politics of hate, the politics of division and the politics of ideology", Spanberger told supporters Tuesday night. Joe Donnelly lost his bid for reelection in IN, and Republican Marsha Blackburn won the open Senate seat in Tennessee, a race that Democrats had hoped would slide into their column. Sen. He was defeated by Democrat Debbie Mucarsel-Powell.
You're still up either because Senate returns are really slow, or you are obsessing over Alaska's toss-up gubernatorial race.
Early results began to trickle in from states such as in, site of a vital US Senate race, and Kentucky, home of a pivotal US House of Representatives race, but it could be hours before the winners are determined.
But in some other tossup races, the GOP managed to hold on.
The Associated Press called the very first US House race at 6:32pm, when Republican Hal Rogers safely won re-election in Kentucky's fifth congressional district. She finished about 3 percentage points behind the incumbent in a Lexington-area district Trump won by 15 percentage points in 2016.
While these were the first two districts to flip, Democratic leaders had appeared positive throughout the day on Tuesday.
Tennessee election officials are expecting high turnout as voters cast ballots for governor, the U.S. Senate and House on Tuesday.
Midterm elections are typically hard for the party in power, but the GOP's hold on power was further weakened by an unusually large number of retirements as well as infighting between conservatives and centrists over their allegiance to Trump. Republicans who rode their opposition to Obamacare to the House majority in 2010 were forced to backtrack in race after race, insisting that they actually did support such protections. Polls show Wexton claiming the seat, which has been held by a Republican for over 30 years.
Still, more than 40 percent of voters said they approve of the job Trump is doing as president, CNN reported.
In trying to stem Republican losses, Trump made only passing reference to his $1.5 trillion tax cut - the GOP Congress' signature achievement - and instead barnstormed through mostly white regions of the country, interjecting dark and foreboding warnings. He was active on Twitter throughout much of the day, blasting out endorsements for Republican candidates and weighing in on the balloting.
Health care has been the dominant message for Democrats this cycle - mentioned in more than half the party's TV ads.
A majority of the 113,000 voters surveyed said the country is headed in the wrong direction.
Yet Trump's party will maintain Senate control for the next two years, at least.
His opponents say taking control of the House and Senate is the only way to stop Trump's agenda on issues like immigration, nominating judges, and healthcare.
"We're going to win, based on data", Pelosi of California said at the Democratic campaign headquarters in Washington. At least 255 women were on the ballot as major party congressional candidates. This contest features a matchup between two-term GOP Rep. David Young and Democrat Cindy Axne, a small business owner and first-time candidate.